The December housing market data revealed a slight drop in the average house price. It was the first decline recorded since March 2024. However, despite the data released by Halifax, it is considered a temporary drop as the expectation is for a boost in the market in the first quarter of 2025. Halifax reported a 0.2% decline in December from November, with an increase of 3.3% annually, yet still less than the 4.7% annual increase recorded in November. 

For the end of 2024, the UK housing market gave off vibes of continued growth which is what experts have forecasted for this year. Nationwide reported in their data for December the average UK home reached a cost of £269,426 which is an annual increase of nearly £12,000. This is the fourth consecutive month of an increase to the average house price and this trend will likely continue, at least through the first quarter of 2025.

As we step into 2025, the financial landscape for UK homeowners remains a dynamic and somewhat unpredictable environment. The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Bank of England, after maintaining a high base rate for much of 2024, made two significant cuts, bringing the rate down to 4.75%. Despite these reductions, inflation has proven to be a persistent challenge, with recent figures exceeding the target rate of 2.0% growing from 1.7% to 2.3% and finally 2.6% in November. As a result, many homeowners are facing a critical decision: should they remortgage or allow their loan to transition to their lender's standard variable rate (SVR) at the end of their mortgage term.

As we step into 2025, homeowners and prospective home buyers are keenly watching the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) for any signs of future base rate cuts. The past year has been a rollercoaster for mortgage interest rates, with the MPC only making two cuts to the standard base rate in 2024, reducing it from a 16-year high of 5.25% to the current 4.75%. The journey to the lower rate was a long wait through the year for the first cut, and while a second came toward the end, the hopeful third cut was not to be.

The United Kingdom's inflation rate has been on a steady rise, reaching 2.6% in November 2024, up from 2.3% in October and 1.7% in September. This increase has put significant pressure on the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) as they strive to meet their target inflation rate of 2.0%. The MPC's decisions on interest rates are crucial, as they directly impact borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, including mortgages and remortgages.

The UK housing market in 2025 is poised for a year of sustained demand and continued growth in average house prices, driven by a combination of favorable factors that promise to keep the market buoyant. Lower mortgage interest rates offered by lenders and rising wages are expected to play a significant role in maintaining elevated levels of buyer interest and activity throughout the year. The favorable factors will also contribute to high demand from homeowners seeking lower interest rate remortgages in the new year.