As expected, today the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) met and voted to keep the standard base interest rate at the 16-year high of 5.25%. Their decision is based on the fact the current report on inflation reveals it at 3.2%. The expectation is for inflation to decline in the next report much closer to the target rate of 2.0%. Had the MPC meeting come after the May update on inflation, perhaps a cut might have occurred if indeed it does drop nearer to target. The MPC had to vote according to the information at hand versus the expected inflation data that will be available on 22 May. 

According to experts, homeowners no longer should fear declining into negative equity. This occurs when the property value falls below the debt on the property. When in negative equity, the homeowner will be out of reach of a remortgage until they bring the debt below the property value. Without access to a remortgage, a homeowner coming to the end of their current mortgage deal will be transitioned to the lender’s standard variable rate (SVR) and will be paying more and could have saved if they had access to a remortgage and a likely substantially lower interest rate.

On Thursday, the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) will meet to make a decision on the standard base interest rate. According to economists, the expectation is for the majority vote to hold the rate steady. Inflation was last reported at 3.2%, still far from the Bank’s target rate of 2.0%. This is unfortunate for borrowers, for not only will they still face higher interest rates, but inflation is still above target and it will take some time before the relief from inflation is felt. 

There is almost zero chance the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) will cut the standard base interest rate this month. The next meeting is on 9 May and will likely end with a majority vote for keeping the rate steady at 5.25%. Inflation is dropping, but not yet at the Bank’s target rate of 2.0%. It is nearing the point where the rate will be cut, but not likely until early autumn. Expectations are for at least one rate cut of 0.25% by the end of the year.

Homeowners might be finding it difficult to decide whether to remortgage now or wait. This is especially a trying decision for those coming to the end of a two-year fixed rate mortgage obtained in 2022. There are also those homeowners who have already had their term end and have allowed their lender to move them to their standard variable rate (SVR) and are waiting out for lower rate remortgages. The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) will meet in a few days, and it is not expected a vote to decline the rate will occur in May, so the wait will be longer for a cut to the current 5.25% base rate.

For the seventh consecutive month, the UK housing market has experienced growth. This is despite the continued strain for home buyers due to expensive borrowing. This is even more so in April than the first three months of the year. Lenders had begun to lower their mortgage rate deals as a large reaching competitive lending market emerged due to optimism for an early spring cut to the base rate by the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). Fast forward to the end of March and forecasts became less optimistic which triggered the lowest rate mortgages to disappear from the lending market.